Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.392761 0.452881 0.515940 0.586728 0.663694 0.744573 0.835717
2024-12-22 0.296573 0.377306 0.467229 0.573681 0.695141 0.828354 0.984446
2024-12-29 0.246061 0.342461 0.455704 0.595875 0.762112 0.950538 1.177816
2025-01-05 0.196651 0.300544 0.429332 0.595743 0.800281 1.039037 1.334356
2025-01-12 0.158881 0.266731 0.407605 0.597040 0.837435 1.125291 1.488987
2025-01-19 0.133543 0.245042 0.397854 0.610675 0.888187 1.227576 1.663832
2025-01-26 0.114800 0.229375 0.393581 0.629560 0.944618 1.336894 1.848434
2025-02-02 0.099157 0.215603 0.389854 0.647691 0.999376 1.444291 2.031824
2025-02-09 0.080825 0.194219 0.372511 0.644972 1.025254 1.514502 2.169088
2025-02-16 0.068780 0.181168 0.365831 0.655934 1.068698 1.607108 2.335142
2025-02-23 0.055957 0.164101 0.350866 0.653248 1.092377 1.673508 2.467961
2025-03-02 0.041599 0.140567 0.322607 0.628306 1.083098 1.695096 2.542275
2025-03-09 0.034878 0.131610 0.318113 0.639611 1.126040 1.788162 2.712534
2025-03-16 0.026334 0.115980 0.300066 0.628267 1.135460 1.835706 2.823492
2025-03-23 0.023295 0.113135 0.304810 0.653336 1.198507 1.957238 3.033750
2025-03-30 0.018297 0.103305 0.295201 0.654084 1.225074 2.028604 3.177802
2025-04-06 0.014293 0.094690 0.286792 0.655990 1.252933 2.101749 3.324722
2025-04-13 0.011891 0.090221 0.286161 0.670818 1.300467 2.202843 3.510212
2025-04-20 0.010186 0.087488 0.288766 0.691104 1.356530 2.316412 3.713476
2025-04-27 0.008657 0.084720 0.290932 0.710503 1.411403 2.428803 3.916068
2025-05-04 0.006330 0.076988 0.281079 0.707678 1.431046 2.490829 4.050041
2025-05-11 0.005021 0.073055 0.279380 0.719376 1.473648 2.586131 4.230452
2025-05-18 0.003500 0.066374 0.270202 0.716544 1.492630 2.647198 4.363834